【扰动96L】https://tieba.baidu.com/p/7053684257AL, 29, 2020103118, , BEST, 0, 149N, 724W, 30, 1006, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 100, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTY-NIN, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 063, TRANSITIONED, alD62020 to al292020,

。

即将破05年命名数纪录

NHC will initiate advisories on Tropical Depression 29, located over the central Caribbean Sea, at 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC).

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDSINIT 31/2100Z 15.0N 73.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 01/0600Z 15.1N 75.6W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 01/1800Z 15.4N 78.3W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 02/0600Z 15.5N 80.4W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 02/1800Z 15.1N 82.1W 65 KT 75 MPH 60H 03/0600Z 14.3N 83.1W 75 KT 85 MPH 72H 03/1800Z 13.8N 83.7W 70 KT 80 MPH...INLAND 96H 04/1800Z 13.5N 85.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND120H 05/1800Z 14.0N 86.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND

人气都去隔壁了

946登陆

UW - CIMSS ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE ADT-Version 9.0 Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm ----- Current Analysis ----- Date : 31 OCT 2020 Time : 225018 UTC Lat : 15:01:59 N Lon : 73:41:53 W CI# /Pressure/ Vmax 2.2 /1007.7mb/ 32.0kt Final T# Adj T# Raw T# 2.2 2.4 2.5 Center Temp : -2.9C Cloud Region Temp : -31.0C Scene Type : CURVED BAND with 0.54 ARC in DK GRAY Subtropical Adjustment : OFF Extratropical Adjustment : OFF Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : 0.2T/hour Weakening Flag : OFF Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs : - Average 34 knot radii : N/A - Environmental MSLP : 1010mb Satellite Name : GOES16 Satellite Viewing Angle : 17.7 degrees ADT开工~~~

29L.TWENTY-NIN11/01 0000ZWind: 35 ktPressure: 1005 hPaPosition: 14.9N 73.5W

NHC issuing advisories for the Atlantic on TS Eta

今年北大嗑药了……

INIT 01/0300Z 15.0N 74.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 01/1200Z 15.1N 76.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 02/0000Z 15.3N 78.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 02/1200Z 15.2N 80.8W 60 KT 70 MPH 48H 03/0000Z 14.7N 82.1W 70 KT 80 MPH 60H 03/1200Z 14.2N 82.8W 80 KT 90 MPH 72H 04/0000Z 13.7N 83.7W 70 KT 80 MPH...INLAND 96H 05/0000Z 14.0N 85.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND120H 06/0000Z 14.5N 87.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND

Total storms28 (record high, tied with 2005)

风切继续下降

奶一口Wilma

HWRF：935

这个ETA，路径同西太天鹅有的相同，先偏西，后西南，然后再西，天鹅爆发是走西南西路径，同样的ETA 36小时后也走西南西，话说大西洋低纬深秋走西南西路径非常少见，主要原因经常有西路冷空气打击西环副高，ZETA没走西南西就是遭到西路强冷并向东扩散。根据预报，美国只有一次东路冷空气过程并向南扩散，未来72小时内都不见有西路冷空气过来打击西环副高。也许ETA会上演大西洋天鹅版？

00Z的OHC

很散乱