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WTPQ51 RJTD 011200RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORYNAME TS 2411 YAGI (2411) UPGRADED FROM TDANALYSISPSTN 011200UTC 14.4N 124.2E FAIRMOVE NW 14KTPRES 998HPAMXWD 035KTGUST 050KT30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WESTFORECAST12HF 020000UTC 15.6N 123.2E 35NM 70%MOVE NW 08KTPRES 996HPAMXWD 040KTGUST 060KT24HF 021200UTC 16.9N 123.2E 50NM 70%MOVE N 07KTPRES 996HPAMXWD 040KTGUST 060KT48HF 031200UTC 19.1N 121.7E 100NM 70%MOVE NNW 07KTPRES 996HPAMXWD 040KTGUST 060KT72HF 041200UTC 19.0N 120.2E 140NM 70%MOVE W SLOWLYPRES 990HPAMXWD 045KTGUST 065KT96HF 051200UTC 19.3N 119.3E 200NM 70%MOVE ALMOST STATIONARYPRES 980HPAMXWD 055KTGUST 080KT120HF 061200UTC 20.6N 117.4E 250NM 70%MOVE NW 06KTPRES 970HPAMXWD 065KTGUST 095KT =

Yagi来辣

迈向西太光荣新征程！

摩羯来了

EC认为，直接袭击粤西，雷州半岛海南

Yagi下垫面很高没话说，后期高层流出条件也固然不错，风切除了早期会大一些以外暂未报出其他风切特别大的时段，但还是有数值认为后期风切还在10-20kt之间，说明后期潜在的风切问题不可忽视。另外这位的走位非常刁钻，路径的不确定性导致发展空间被压缩的情况无法被完全排除，最好走一步看一步，当前还达不到放心高潮的程度，暂且上望C3

希望这个9月活跃期来个开门红

WTPQ51 RJTD 011200RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORYNAME TS 2411 YAGI (2411) UPGRADED FROM TDANALYSISPSTN 011200UTC 14.4N 124.2E FAIRMOVE NW 14KTPRES 998HPAMXWD 035KTGUST 050KT30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WESTFORECAST12HF 020000UTC 15.6N 123.2E 35NM 70%MOVE NW 08KTPRES 996HPAMXWD 040KTGUST 060KT24HF 021200UTC 16.9N 123.2E 50NM 70%MOVE N 07KTPRES 996HPAMXWD 040KTGUST 060KT48HF 031200UTC 19.1N 121.7E 100NM 70%MOVE NNW 07KTPRES 996HPAMXWD 040KTGUST 060KT72HF 041200UTC 19.0N 120.2E 140NM 70%MOVE W SLOWLYPRES 990HPAMXWD 045KTGUST 065KT96HF 051200UTC 19.3N 119.3E 200NM 70%MOVE ALMOST STATIONARYPRES 980HPAMXWD 055KTGUST 080KT120HF 061200UTC 20.6N 117.4E 250NM 70%MOVE NW 06KTPRES 970HPAMXWD 065KTGUST 095KT =

yagi和hone共舞

浅浅上望个105kt

12W TWELVE 240901 1200 13.5N 124.7E WPAC 30 999

ec新报把朱东和粤东彻底排除登陆点，也太自信了吧，高富帅的路径没有把朱东和粤东排除啊