【扰动94L】https://tieba.baidu.com/p/7023393526AL, 27, 2020101906, , BEST, 0, 257N, 556W, 30, 1003, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 270, 90, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTY-SEV, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 062, TRANSITIONED, alD42020 to al272020,

因为21L的时候吃了亏

ε预备

爬

奇妙时间

Showers and thunderstorms have increased in coverage and become much better organized in association with a large low pressure system located about 700 miles southeast of Bermuda. Based on overnight development trends, a special advisory will be issued on a tropical depression this morning as the system meanders well southeast of Bermuda. See NOAA High Seas Forecast products for more details on this system.* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

猝不及防

NHC issuing advisories for the Atlantic on TD Twenty-Seven首报上望75KT

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDSINIT 19/1200Z 25.8N 55.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 19/1800Z 25.8N 55.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 20/0600Z 26.0N 55.3W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 20/1800Z 26.9N 55.9W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 21/0600Z 28.0N 57.8W 55 KT 65 MPH 60H 21/1800Z 28.6N 59.3W 60 KT 70 MPH 72H 22/0600Z 29.5N 60.3W 65 KT 75 MPH 96H 23/0600Z 31.7N 62.3W 70 KT 80 MPH120H 24/0600Z 33.5N 63.8W 75 KT 85 MPH

这暖点让人浮想联翩

我记得PTC不能开贴的呀，虽然现在应该不是PTC了。

AL, 27, 2020101912, , BEST, 0, 257N, 553W, 35, 1000, TS, 34, NEQ, 70, 40, 0, 60, 1009, 330, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTY-SEV, M,

和暖池擦肩而过

风切较大，即将进入50+风切

AL, 27, 2020101912, , BEST, 0, 257N, 553W, 35, 1000, DB, 34, NEQ, 70, 40, 0, 60, 1009, 330, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, EPSILON, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 062, DISSIPATED, al272020 to al942020, TRANSITIONED, alE42020 to al272020,

NHC issuing advisories for the Atlantic on TS Epsilon

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDSINIT 19/1500Z 25.6N 55.3W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 20/0000Z 25.8N 55.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 20/1200Z 26.4N 55.4W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 21/0000Z 27.6N 56.7W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 21/1200Z 28.3N 58.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 60H 22/0000Z 29.1N 59.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 22/1200Z 30.2N 60.8W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 23/1200Z 32.3N 62.7W 75 KT 85 MPH120H 24/1200Z 34.5N 63.3W 80 KT 90 MPH

Tropical Storm Epsilon Advisory Number 2NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL2720201100 AM AST Mon Oct 19 2020...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM EPSILON...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------LOCATION...25.6N 55.3WABOUT 735 MI...1185 KM SE OF BERMUDAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARYMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

超原纪录41天，最早ε！

TXNT29 KNES 191309TCSNTLCCAA. 27L (NONAME)B. 19/1130ZC. 25.7ND. 55.3WE. THREE/GOES-EF. T1.5/1.5G. IR/EIR/VISH. REMARKS...CORRECTED FOR CENTER POSITION. 3/10 BANDING YIELDS A DT OF1.5. NO MET AND PT AS SYSTEM TRANSITIONED FROM SUBTROPICAL TO TROPICAL. FTIS BASED ON DT.I. ADDL POSITIONS NIL...TUGGLE

还是太干了

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDSINIT 19/1500Z 25.6N 55.3W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 20/0000Z 25.8N 55.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 20/1200Z 26.4N 55.4W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 21/0000Z 27.6N 56.7W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 21/1200Z 28.3N 58.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 60H 22/0000Z 29.1N 59.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 22/1200Z 30.2N 60.8W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 23/1200Z 32.3N 62.7W 75 KT 85 MPH120H 24/1200Z 34.5N 63.3W 80 KT 90 MPH

27L EPSILON 201019 1800 25.6N 55.4W ATL 40 998

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDSINIT 19/2100Z 25.5N 55.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 20/0600Z 25.9N 55.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 20/1800Z 27.0N 56.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 21/0600Z 28.1N 57.8W 60 KT 70 MPH 48H 21/1800Z 28.8N 59.4W 65 KT 75 MPH 60H 22/0600Z 29.8N 60.6W 70 KT 80 MPH 72H 22/1800Z 31.1N 61.5W 75 KT 85 MPH 96H 23/1800Z 32.8N 62.8W 80 KT 90 MPH120H 24/1800Z 35.5N 62.3W 80 KT 90 MPH